Every Spanish top-flight match this club has played in the Primera División, scored against the odds an Elo rating gave it before kick-off. Over 18 seasons from 1940-41 to 2007-08 it has fallen short of them by −30.4 match points.
1940-41 to 2007-08one bar per season · height in match points
Best season against expectation
1986-87+4.5 league pts
41 points on 36.5 expected as Real Murcia
Worst season against expectation
2003-04−15.9 league pts
26 points on 41.9 expected as Real Murcia
Season points use that season’s own scoring, two for a win before 1995-96 and three from it; the bars use match points so the whole series is comparable. The rating only starts telling you much after about 1960. Before that, knowing the era’s home-and-away split is almost as good as knowing the teams.
Murcia's top matches by the club Game Score: closeness, stakes, quality and upset over one unified rating of league and European play. H, A and N mark home, away and a neutral venue; a ★ is a curated all-time classic (tap it for the model's own score).All-time board.
Most recent season first. Covers La Liga only. Rows tagged "national playoff" are pre-modern formats where the workbook records only playoff participants, not round-robin standings.
