Every Italian top-flight match this club has played in the Serie A, scored against the odds an Elo rating gave it before kick-off. Over 14 seasons from 1929-30 to 2003-04 it has fallen short of them by −10.2 match points.
1929-30 to 2003-04one bar per season · height in match points
Best season against expectation
1946-47+13.3 league pts
51 points on 37.8 expected as Modena FC
Worst season against expectation
2003-04−8.0 league pts
30 points on 38.0 expected as Modena FC
Season points use that season’s own scoring, two for a win before 1994-95 and three from it; the bars use match points so the whole series is comparable. The rating only starts telling you much after about 1960. Before that, knowing the era’s home-and-away split is almost as good as knowing the teams.
1945-46 table not final: two regional groups (Alta Italia, Centro-Sud) plus a final round.
Modena's top matches by the club Game Score: closeness, stakes, quality and upset over one unified rating of league and European play. H, A and N mark home, away and a neutral venue; a ★ is a curated all-time classic (tap it for the model's own score).All-time board.
Most recent season first. Covers Serie A only. Rows tagged "national playoff" are pre-modern formats where the workbook records only playoff participants, not round-robin standings.
