Milan, Milan · Italy · Serie A

Against expectation

Every Italian top-flight match this club has played in the Serie A, scored against the odds an Elo rating gave it before kick-off. Over 3 seasons from 1930-31 to 1953-54 it has fallen short of them by −12.0 match points.

1930-31 to 1953-54one bar per season · height in match points

Best season against expectation
1953-54 +0.0 league pts
25 points on 25.0 expected as Legnano
Worst season against expectation
1951-52 −13.4 league pts
17 points on 30.4 expected as Legnano

Season points use that season’s own scoring, two for a win before 1994-95 and three from it; the bars use match points so the whole series is comparable. The rating only starts telling you much after about 1960. Before that, knowing the era’s home-and-away split is almost as good as knowing the teams.

Milan against expectation →How this is measured →

Greatest games

Legnano's top matches by the club Game Score: closeness, stakes, quality and upset over one unified rating of league and European play. H, A and N mark home, away and a neutral venue; a ★ is a curated all-time classic (tap it for the model's own score).All-time board.

1
1952-06-15 · Serie A
64.4
game score
2
1954-05-09 · Serie A
62.0
game score
3
1952-05-18 · Serie A
58.6
game score
4
1952-05-11 · Serie A
57.3
game score
5
1931-06-21 · Serie A
55.2
game score
6
1954-05-02 · Serie A
51.9
game score
7
1954-03-21 · Serie A
51.1
game score
8
1952-01-13 · Serie A
50.3
game score
9
1952-01-06 · Serie A
48.9
game score
10
1954-03-28 · Serie A
47.9
game score

Footprint

Tiers played
L1
Top-flight (L1) seasons
11
First season
1920
Most recent season
1954

The Heartbreak Index3.5 · #580

The Blessed · Never won it, waiting since 1920

3.5
Heartbreak
#580
of 1,138 clubs
#365
in Football
3.5
agony
The clocks
  • First major trophy since 19206.3
Heaviest wounds

relegated from the top flight, 1952 · relegated from the top flight, 1954 · relegated from the top flight, 1929 · relegated from the top flight, 1931

One formula, every club the site covers. See the whole board →

Season-by-season

Most recent season first. Covers Serie A only. Rows tagged "national playoff" are pre-modern formats where the workbook records only playoff participants, not round-robin standings.

1954
Serie A (1) · P18↓
34 P · 6-13-15 · 44:58 · -14
25
pts
1952
Serie A (1) · P20↓
38 P · 4-9-25 · 37:85 · -48
17
pts
1931
Serie A (1) · P18↓
34 P · 6-7-21 · 30:71 · -41
19
pts
1929
Divisione Nazionale (1) · P16↓
30 P · 7-4-19 · 33:68 · -35
18
pts
1926
Prima Divisione (1) · P12
22 P · 3-4-15 · 22:49 · -27
10
pts
1925
Prima Divisione (1) · P11
22 P · 5-5-12 · 18:29 · -11
15
pts
1924
Prima Divisione (1) · P6
22 P · 8-5-9 · 27:26 · +1
21
pts
1923
Prima Divisione (1) · P2
22 P · 13-6-3 · 37:19 · +18
32
pts
1922
Prima Divisione (1) · P6
22 P · 7-6-9 · 28:29 · -1
20
pts
1921
Italian Football Championship (1) · P2
6 P · 4-0-2 · 10:8 · +2
8
pts
1920
Italian Football Championship (1) · P5
10 P · 1-3-6 · 8:18 · -10
5
pts