Against expectation Every Dutch top-flight match this club has played in the Eredivisie, scored against the odds an Elo rating gave it before kick-off. Over 36 seasons from 1956-57 to 1999-00 it has fallen short of them by −5.4 match points.
MVV: surplus against expectation, 1956-57 to 1999-00 1956-57: +3.5 league points vs expected (40 on 36.5, 2 for a win) · bar height +1.7 match points 1957-58: +1.3 league points vs expected (37 on 35.7, 2 for a win) · bar height +0.6 match points 1958-59: +1.8 league points vs expected (37 on 35.3, 2 for a win) · bar height +0.9 match points 1959-60: −1.4 league points vs expected (31 on 32.4, 2 for a win) · bar height −0.7 match points 1960-61: −4.7 league points vs expected (28 on 32.7, 2 for a win) · bar height −2.3 match points 1961-62: +5.2 league points vs expected (36 on 30.8, 2 for a win) · bar height +2.6 match points 1962-63: +0.8 league points vs expected (29 on 28.2, 2 for a win) · bar height +0.4 match points 1963-64: −2.1 league points vs expected (27 on 29.1, 2 for a win) · bar height −1.0 match points 1964-65: +2.1 league points vs expected (29 on 26.9, 2 for a win) · bar height +1.1 match points 1965-66: −5.6 league points vs expected (21 on 26.6, 2 for a win) · bar height −2.8 match points 1966-67: +0.4 league points vs expected (30 on 29.6, 2 for a win) · bar height +0.2 match points 1967-68: −1.4 league points vs expected (28 on 29.4, 2 for a win) · bar height −0.7 match points 1968-69: −1.3 league points vs expected (26 on 27.3, 2 for a win) · bar height −0.6 match points 1969-70: +3.2 league points vs expected (34 on 30.8, 2 for a win) · bar height +1.6 match points 1970-71: −3.7 league points vs expected (26 on 29.7, 2 for a win) · bar height −1.9 match points 1971-72: +0.1 league points vs expected (30 on 29.9, 2 for a win) · bar height +0.1 match points 1972-73: +4.8 league points vs expected (37 on 32.2, 2 for a win) · bar height +2.4 match points 1973-74: −2.2 league points vs expected (30 on 32.2, 2 for a win) · bar height −1.1 match points 1974-75: −2.3 league points vs expected (28 on 30.3, 2 for a win) · bar height −1.1 match points 1975-76: −5.8 league points vs expected (23 on 28.8, 2 for a win) · bar height −2.9 match points 1978-79: +2.7 league points vs expected (31 on 28.3, 2 for a win) · bar height +1.3 match points 1979-80: +2.3 league points vs expected (31 on 28.7, 2 for a win) · bar height +1.2 match points 1980-81: +3.0 league points vs expected (34 on 31.0, 2 for a win) · bar height +1.5 match points 1981-82: −5.8 league points vs expected (23 on 28.8, 2 for a win) · bar height −2.9 match points 1984-85: +1.9 league points vs expected (29 on 27.1, 2 for a win) · bar height +0.9 match points 1985-86: −2.0 league points vs expected (24 on 26.1, 2 for a win) · bar height −1.0 match points 1988-89: +2.0 league points vs expected (29 on 27.0, 2 for a win) · bar height +1.0 match points 1989-90: −2.5 league points vs expected (27 on 29.5, 2 for a win) · bar height −1.3 match points 1990-91: +0.5 league points vs expected (27 on 26.5, 2 for a win) · bar height +0.3 match points 1991-92: +6.4 league points vs expected (35 on 28.6, 2 for a win) · bar height +3.2 match points 1992-93: +4.6 league points vs expected (37 on 32.4, 2 for a win) · bar height +2.3 match points 1993-94: +0.0 league points vs expected (32 on 32.0, 2 for a win) · bar height −0.0 match points 1994-95: −7.5 league points vs expected (23 on 30.5, 2 for a win) · bar height −3.8 match points 1997-98: −3.4 league points vs expected (32 on 35.4, 3 for a win) · bar height −1.7 match points 1998-99: −2.0 league points vs expected (32 on 34.0, 3 for a win) · bar height −0.2 match points 1999-00: −7.0 league points vs expected (25 on 32.0, 3 for a win) · bar height −2.5 match points 1956-57 one bar per season · height in match points · hover for that season 1999-00
Best season against expectation
1991-92 +6.4 league pts
35 points on 28.6 expected as MVV
Worst season against expectation
1994-95 −7.5 league pts
23 points on 30.5 expected as MVV
Season points use that season’s own scoring, two for a win before 1995-96 and three from it; the bars use match points so the whole series is comparable.The rating only starts telling you much after about 1960. Before that, knowing the era’s home-and-away split is almost as good as knowing the teams.
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