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Lucchese

Heartbreak#6452.9

Lucca, Lucca · Italy · Serie A

Against expectation

Every Italian top-flight match this club has played in the Serie A, scored against the odds an Elo rating gave it before kick-off. Over 8 seasons from 1936-37 to 1951-52 it has fallen short of them by −2.4 match points.

Lucchese: surplus against expectation, 1936-37 to 1951-521936-37: +3.4 league points vs expected (31 on 27.6, 2 for a win) · bar height +1.7 match points1937-38: −5.2 league points vs expected (21 on 26.1, 2 for a win) · bar height −2.6 match points1938-39: −1.3 league points vs expected (24 on 25.3, 2 for a win) · bar height −0.6 match points1947-48: +0.8 league points vs expected (32 on 31.2, 2 for a win) · bar height +0.4 match points1948-49: +1.9 league points vs expected (38 on 36.1, 2 for a win) · bar height +1.0 match points1949-50: −2.6 league points vs expected (32 on 34.6, 2 for a win) · bar height −1.3 match points1950-51: −1.0 league points vs expected (30 on 31.0, 2 for a win) · bar height −0.5 match points1951-52: −1.0 league points vs expected (32 on 33.0, 2 for a win) · bar height −0.5 match points
1936-37one bar per season · height in match points · hover for that season1951-52
Best season against expectation
1936-37 +3.4 league pts
31 points on 27.6 expected as Lucchese
Worst season against expectation
1937-38 −5.2 league pts
21 points on 26.1 expected as Lucchese

Season points use that season’s own scoring, two for a win before 1994-95 and three from it; the bars use match points so the whole series is comparable.The rating only starts telling you much after about 1960. Before that, knowing the era’s home-and-away split is almost as good as knowing the teams.

Lucca against expectation →How this is measured →

Greatest games

Lucchese's top matches by the club Game Score: closeness, stakes, quality and upset over one unified rating of league and European play.All-time board.

#DateStageResultScore
11952-06-08Serie AHL 1-2 v Comogame score 66.7
21951-05-20Serie AHW 3-2 v Internazionalegame score 61.4
31939-04-30Serie AHL 0-1 v Novaragame score 60.9
41948-05-09Serie AAW 2-1 v AC Milangame score 59.9
51951-04-29Serie AAW 1-0 v AS Romagame score 58.5
61950-01-01Serie AAW 2-1 v Juventusgame score 56.6
71951-05-13Serie AHW 3-2 v Padovagame score 55.6
81950-04-30Serie AAL 2-3 v Padovagame score 55.5
91939-05-21Serie AAL 0-1 v AC Milangame score 54.8
101952-03-30Serie AHL 1-2 v Triestinagame score 54.4

Footprint

Tiers played
L1
Top-flight (L1) seasons
9
First season
1923
Most recent season
1952

The Heartbreak Index2.9 · #645

The Blessed · Never won it, waiting since 1923

2.9
Heartbreak
#645
of 1,139 clubs
#394
in Football
2.9
agony
The clocks
  • First major trophy since 19236.3
Heaviest wounds

relegated from the top flight, 1939 · relegated from the top flight, 1952 · survived a relegation scare, 1951 · survived a relegation scare, 1950

One formula, every club the site covers. See the whole board →

Season-by-season

Most recent season first. Covers Serie A only. Rows tagged "national playoff" are pre-modern formats where the workbook records only playoff participants, not round-robin standings.

1952
Serie A (1) · P17↓
38 P · 11-10-17 · 39:49 · -10
32
pts
1951
Serie A (1) · P15
38 P · 11-8-19 · 44:53 · -9
30
pts
1950
Serie A (1) · P15
38 P · 11-10-17 · 65:79 · -14
32
pts
1949
Serie A (1) · P8
38 P · 14-10-14 · 55:55 · 0
38
pts
1948
Serie A (1) · P14
40 P · 12-12-16 · 46:82 · -36
36
pts
1939
Serie A (1) · P16↓
30 P · 7-10-13 · 31:54 · -23
24
pts
1938
Serie A (1) · P14
30 P · 5-11-14 · 28:55 · -27
21
pts
1937
Serie A (1) · P7
30 P · 9-13-8 · 39:43 · -4
31
pts
1923
Prima Divisione (1) · P9
22 P · 6-4-12 · 24:55 · -31
16
pts