Lucca, Lucca · Italy · Serie A

Against expectation

Every Italian top-flight match this club has played in the Serie A, scored against the odds an Elo rating gave it before kick-off. Over 8 seasons from 1936-37 to 1951-52 it has fallen short of them by −2.4 match points.

1936-37 to 1951-52one bar per season · height in match points

Best season against expectation
1936-37 +3.4 league pts
31 points on 27.6 expected as Lucchese
Worst season against expectation
1937-38 −5.2 league pts
21 points on 26.1 expected as Lucchese

Season points use that season’s own scoring, two for a win before 1994-95 and three from it; the bars use match points so the whole series is comparable. The rating only starts telling you much after about 1960. Before that, knowing the era’s home-and-away split is almost as good as knowing the teams.

Lucca against expectation →How this is measured →

Greatest games

Lucchese's top matches by the club Game Score: closeness, stakes, quality and upset over one unified rating of league and European play. H, A and N mark home, away and a neutral venue; a ★ is a curated all-time classic (tap it for the model's own score).All-time board.

1
1952-06-08 · Serie A
66.7
game score
2
1951-05-20 · Serie A
61.4
game score
3
1939-04-30 · Serie A
60.9
game score
4
1948-05-09 · Serie A
59.9
game score
5
1951-04-29 · Serie A
58.5
game score
6
1950-01-01 · Serie A
56.6
game score
7
1951-05-13 · Serie A
55.6
game score
8
1950-04-30 · Serie A
55.5
game score
9
1939-05-21 · Serie A
54.8
game score
10
1952-03-30 · Serie A
54.4
game score

Footprint

Tiers played
L1
Top-flight (L1) seasons
9
First season
1923
Most recent season
1952

The Heartbreak Index2.9 · #643

The Blessed · Never won it, waiting since 1923

2.9
Heartbreak
#643
of 1,138 clubs
#393
in Football
2.9
agony
The clocks
  • First major trophy since 19236.3
Heaviest wounds

relegated from the top flight, 1939 · relegated from the top flight, 1952 · survived a relegation scare, 1951 · survived a relegation scare, 1950

One formula, every club the site covers. See the whole board →

Season-by-season

Most recent season first. Covers Serie A only. Rows tagged "national playoff" are pre-modern formats where the workbook records only playoff participants, not round-robin standings.

1952
Serie A (1) · P17↓
38 P · 11-10-17 · 39:49 · -10
32
pts
1951
Serie A (1) · P15
38 P · 11-8-19 · 44:53 · -9
30
pts
1950
Serie A (1) · P15
38 P · 11-10-17 · 65:79 · -14
32
pts
1949
Serie A (1) · P8
38 P · 14-10-14 · 55:55 · 0
38
pts
1948
Serie A (1) · P14
40 P · 12-12-16 · 46:82 · -36
36
pts
1939
Serie A (1) · P16↓
30 P · 7-10-13 · 31:54 · -23
24
pts
1938
Serie A (1) · P14
30 P · 5-11-14 · 28:55 · -27
21
pts
1937
Serie A (1) · P7
30 P · 9-13-8 · 39:43 · -4
31
pts
1923
Prima Divisione (1) · P9
22 P · 6-4-12 · 24:55 · -31
16
pts